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GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 33, L13807, doi:10.1029/2006GL026180, 2006

Ozone pollution from future ship traffic in the Arctic northern passages

Claire Granier

Service d'Aéronomie/IPSL, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France


Ulrike Niemeier

Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany


Johann H. Jungclaus

Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany


Louisa Emmons

National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA


Peter Hess

National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA


Jean-François Lamarque

National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA


Stacy Walters

National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA


Guy P. Brasseur

Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany


Abstract

With sea ice expected to recede in the Arctic during the 21st century as a result of projected climate warming, global shipping patterns will change considerably in the decades ahead. The opening of viable shipping routes through the Northern passages will generate new environmental problems including the degradation of air quality in the Arctic. The release of considerable amounts of carbon monoxide, nitric oxide and other chemical substances by the ship's combustion engines will enhance the level of atmospheric photooxidants and other secondary pollutants in this region. Here we show that, during the summer months, surface ozone concentrations in the Arctic could be enhanced by a factor of 2–3 in the decades ahead as a consequence of ship operations through the northern passages. Projected ozone concentrations of 40–60 ppbv from July to September are comparable to summertime values currently observed in many industrialized regions in the Northern Hemisphere.

Received 6 March 2006; accepted 30 May 2006; published 8 July 2006.

Index Terms: 0365 Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Troposphere: composition and chemistry; 0368 Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Troposphere: constituent transport and chemistry; 0345 Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Pollution: urban and regional (0305, 0478, 4251); 3337 Atmospheric Processes: Global climate models (1626, 4928); 9315 Geographic Location: Arctic region (0718, 4207).


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Citation: Granier, C., U. Niemeier, J. H. Jungclaus, L. Emmons, P. Hess, J.-F. Lamarque, S. Walters, and G. P. Brasseur (2006), Ozone pollution from future ship traffic in the Arctic northern passages, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L13807, doi:10.1029/2006GL026180.