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GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,
VOL. 33,
L13807,
doi:10.1029/2006GL026180,
2006
Ozone pollution from future ship traffic in the Arctic northern passages
Claire Granier
Service d'Aéronomie/IPSL, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France
Ulrike Niemeier
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Johann H. Jungclaus
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Louisa Emmons
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Peter Hess
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Jean-François Lamarque
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Stacy Walters
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Guy P. Brasseur
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Abstract
With sea ice expected to recede in the Arctic during the 21st century as a result of projected climate warming, global shipping
patterns will change considerably in the decades ahead. The opening of viable shipping routes through the Northern passages
will generate new environmental problems including the degradation of air quality in the Arctic. The release of considerable
amounts of carbon monoxide, nitric oxide and other chemical substances by the ship's combustion engines will enhance the level
of atmospheric photooxidants and other secondary pollutants in this region. Here we show that, during the summer months, surface
ozone concentrations in the Arctic could be enhanced by a factor of 2–3 in the decades ahead as a consequence of ship operations
through the northern passages. Projected ozone concentrations of 40–60 ppbv from July to September are comparable to summertime
values currently observed in many industrialized regions in the Northern Hemisphere.
Received 6
March
2006;
accepted 30
May
2006;
published 8
July
2006.
Index Terms: 0365 Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Troposphere: composition and chemistry; 0368 Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Troposphere: constituent transport and chemistry; 0345 Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Pollution: urban and regional (0305, 0478, 4251); 3337 Atmospheric Processes: Global climate models (1626, 4928); 9315 Geographic Location: Arctic region (0718, 4207).
Read Full Article (file size: 1016547 bytes) Cited by
Citation: Granier, C., U. Niemeier, J. H. Jungclaus, L. Emmons, P. Hess, J.-F. Lamarque, S. Walters, and G. P. Brasseur
(2006),
Ozone pollution from future ship traffic in the Arctic northern passages,
Geophys. Res. Lett.,
33,
L13807,
doi:10.1029/2006GL026180.
Copyright 2006 by the American Geophysical Union.
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